FY 2007 Solicitation Homepage

Project Proposal Request for FY 2007 - FY 2009 Funding (Revised Summer 2006)

Proposal 200709100: The evaluation of limiting factors on resident and anadromous salmonids in Lake Wenatchee, Washington

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Table of Contents
Part 1. Administration and Budgeting
Section 1: General Administrative
Section 2: Project Location
Section 3: Project Species
Section 4: Past Accomplishments
Section 5: Relationship to Other Projects
Section 6: Biological Objectives
Section 7: Work Elements
Section 8: Budget
Section 9: Project Future
Section 10: Documents
Part 2. Reviews
Part 1 of 2. Administration and Budgeting
Section 1: General Administrative Information
Process Information:
Date Proposal Submitted & Finalized Status Form Generator
July 14, 2006 Finalized Matt Polacek

Proposal Type: New
Proposal Number: 200709100
Proposal Name: The evaluation of limiting factors on resident and anadromous salmonids in Lake Wenatchee, Washington
Agency, Institution or Organization: Washington Department of Fish and Wildlife (WDFW)
Short Description: This project will evaluate predation, water quality and the available prey base on bull trout, spring chinook salmon and sockeye salmon survival in Lake Wenatchee. Bioenergetics modeling will quantify consumption rates of piscivores to determine impacts.
Information Transfer: Reports for this project will be posted on BPA's website and published in scientific journals. Results will be used to determine if predation is limiting bull trout, spring chinook and sockeye salmon in Lake Wenatchee. Appropriate managment actions will be implemented if necessary to minimize impacts to the aforemnetioned fish species.
 
Project Proposal Contacts
Contact Organization Address Phone/Email Roles Notes
Form Submitter
Matt Polacek Washington Department of Fish & Wildlife 5981 Vantage Hwy. Suite 100
Ellensburg, WA 98926
Ph: 509.925.1025
Fax: ..
Email: polacmcp@dfw.wa.gov
Form Submitter
All Assigned Contacts
Matt Polacek Washington Department of Fish & Wildlife 5981 Vantage Hwy. Suite 100
Ellensburg, WA 98926
Ph: 509.925.1025
Fax: ..
Email: polacmcp@dfw.wa.gov
Form Submitter
Project Lead
Technical Contact

Section 2: Project Location
Sponsor Province: Columbia Cascade ARG Province: No Change
Sponsor Subbasin: Wenatchee ARG Subbasin: No Change
Location(s) at which the action will be implemented
Latitude Longitude Waterbody Location Description County/State Subbasin Primary?
474923N 1204630W Lake Wenatchee Lake Wenatchee, Central Washington State Chelan, Washington Wenatchee No

Section 3: Focal Species
Focal Species:
Primary Secondary Additional Species
Chinook Upper Columbia River Spring ESU
Sockeye Lake Wenatchee ESU
Bull Trout
Northern Pikeminnow

Section 4: Past Accomplishments
Past Accomplishments for Each Fiscal Year of This Project This proposal is for funding a new project, and has no past accomplishments.

Section 5: Relationships to Other Projects
Other Current Projects Related to this Project (any funding source)
Funding Source Related ID Related Project Title Relationship
Other: Chelan PUD [no entry] Sockeye Net Pen Program This project will assess the factors limiting survival of wild and net pen sockeye salmon.
BPA 199007700 Dev of Sytemwide Pred Control This project will relate to the assessment goals of the Northern Pikeminnow Management Program by evaluating northern pikeminnow predation on sockeye and spring chinook salmon in Lake Wenatchee.
BPA 200301700 Integrated Status/Effect Progr Water Quality
BPA 200303900 Monitor Repro In Wenat/Tuc/Kal This project conducts smolt and fry trapping above and below Lake Wenatchee. This work will be direclty linked to estimating mortality and abundance for this proposed project.

Section 6: Biological Objectives
Biological Objectives of this Proposed Project
Biological Objective Full Description Associated Subbasin Plan Strategy Page Nos
Objective 1. Determine factors that limit survival Hypothesis 1.1. Juvenile spring Chinook salmon and sockeye salmon are consumed by piscivores (bull trout and northern pikeminnow) in Lake Wenatchee. Wenatchee Develop and implement a long term biological community evaluation and strategy to monitor condition and trend with a particular focus on bull trout and sockeye salmon abundance and ecological relationships. 302, 305
Objective 1. Determine factors that limit survival Hyothesis 1.2. Zooplankton biomass and production are adequate to support consumption demands by juvenile spring Chinook salmon and sockeye salmon in Lake Wenatchee. Wenatchee Develop and implement a long term water quality evaluation strategy to monitor condition and trend of Lake Wenatchee. Begin implementation by 2007. 302
Objective 1. Determine factors that limit survival Hypothesis 1.3. Temperature and dissolved oxygen conditions do not limit the growth and survival of spring Chinook and sockeye salmon in Lake Wenatchee. Wenatchee Physical/environmental indicator variables to be monitored include temperature, turbidity, pH, DO, Nitrogen and Phosphorus. 338-340
Objective 2. Feasibility of lake fertilization Hypothesis 2.1. The carrying capacity for rearing sockeye salmon and spring Chinook salmon is not limited by secondary production in Lake Wenatchee. Wenatchee Determine the feasibility of implementing a lake fertilization program based on results from objective 1 and literature case studies. 66, 178, 302, 303
Objective 3. Acquire necessary permits Acquire necessary permits to conduct evaluations outlined in Objective 1. This will inlcude Section 10 and NEPA, SEPA evaluations. The WDFW already has a blanket sampling permit. Wenatchee This objective is required to conduct the work related to strategies idetified in the subbasin plan. [Pg no blank]
Objective 4. Manage daily project operations Manage daily project operations including supervising staff and subcontractors. Create and submit reports to BPA regarding PISCES reports, accrual spending, and SOW packages. Creating status reports (WE 141), Annual Reports (132) and Scientific Finding Report (183). Wenatchee This objective will report findings regarding data gaps and strategies identified in the subbasin plan. 302

Section 7: Work Elements
Work Elements and Associated Biological Objectives
Work Element Name Work Element Title Description Start Date End Date Estimated Budget
Produce Environmental Compliance Documentation Obtain Necessary Permits and Environmental Evaluations The WDFW already possesses a valid collection permit and is currently applying for renewal of a National Marine Fisheries Service section 10 permit for boat electrofishing and gill netting in waters containing ESA listed species. The project sponsor will work with BPA to obtain the proper NEPA permit and other federal compliance. This work will be conducted immediately if the project receives funding. 10/1/2006 9/30/2009 $2,000
Biological Objectives Metrics
Objective 3. Acquire necessary permits
No Metrics for this Work Element

Manage and Administer Projects Manage Project Manage daily project operations including supervising staff and subcontractors. Create and submit reports to BPA regarding PISCES reports, accrual spending, and SOW packages. 10/1/2006 9/30/2009 $175,000
Biological Objectives Metrics
Objective 4. Manage daily project operations
No Metrics for this Work Element

Produce Plan Lake Fertilization Feasibility study Reference data collected in Methods 1.2 to determine plankton species composition and bio-volume will be related to literature values to estimate cost/benefits of a lake fertilization program. Literature values, coupled with results from nutrients, primary, and secondary production evaluations will be used to determine feasibility and for comparisons with other fertilized sockeye waters. An annotated bibliography will be produced and included in the first annual report. The first 3 years of this project will serve as baseline if a lake fertilization program were implemented. 11/1/2006 9/30/2009 $10,000
Biological Objectives Metrics
Objective 2. Feasibility of lake fertilization
No Metrics for this Work Element

Analyze/Interpret Data Diet Analysis and Bioenergetics Modeling Fish diets, growth and thermal experience will be applied to a mass balance bioenergetics model to quantify consumption to evaluate the influences of predation on total in-lake mortaility of spring Chinook salmon and sockeye salmon. 6/1/2009 9/30/2009 $325,000
Biological Objectives Metrics
Objective 1. Determine factors that limit survival
Primary R, M, and E Type: Uncertainties Research

Analyze/Interpret Data Hydroacoustic Surveys – Compare Fish Distribution to Abiotic Conditions The target tracking method of determining fish density will be used and extrapolated to reservoir area to determine abundance. We will compare results to literature values for dissolved oxygen and temperature preferences and physiological tolerances, and relate fish distribution from hydroacoustics, trawling and netting to water quality parameters to determine behavioral reactions to unfavorable conditions. 9/15/2007 9/15/2009 $125,000
Biological Objectives Metrics
Objective 1. Determine factors that limit survival
Primary R, M, and E Type: Uncertainties Research

Analyze/Interpret Data Sample Preparation and Stable Isotope Analysis Stable isotope (carbon and nitrogen) analysis will be used as a secondary method for determining food web linkages. This method will allow evaluation of the contribution of particular prey types to predator diets over longer time periods and avoids overlooking periods of intense, short duration feeding which may occur during sampling periods. Sponsor will collect the field data for the sub-contractor to conduct the sample preparation and analysis. 11/1/2007 9/30/2009 $53,000
Biological Objectives Metrics
Objective 1. Determine factors that limit survival
Primary R, M, and E Type: Uncertainties Research

Analyze/Interpret Data Zooplankton, Phytoplankton, and Nutrient Sample Analysis Zooplankton composition, numerical abundance, and biomass will be determined for each of three replicate zooplankton samples collected from each sample location on each sample date. Chlorophyll and phytoplankton levels will help indicate if zooplankton is limited at the primary trophic level in the food chain (bottom-up influence). Nitrate and phosphate levels and ratios (Levine and Schindler 1992) will indicate if phytoplankton and thus zooplankton, is limited at the nutrient level. Project sponsor will collect field data for analysis by sub-contractor. 10/15/2007 9/30/2009 $225,000
Biological Objectives Metrics
Objective 1. Determine factors that limit survival
Primary R, M, and E Type: Uncertainties Research

Collect/Generate/Validate Field and Lab Data Fish Tissue Collection for Stable Isotope Analysis Tissue samples will be collected from all fish species during lakwewide netting and electrofishing surveys. 4/1/2007 8/1/2009 $90,000
Biological Objectives Metrics
Objective 1. Determine factors that limit survival
Primary R, M, and E Type: uncertainties Research

Collect/Generate/Validate Field and Lab Data Hydroacoustic Surveys Hydroacoustic surveys will be used to determine juvenile salmon abundance and distribution by extrapolating mobile hydroacoustic density data to reservoir area in late July or when stratification is most prominent. 7/15/2007 7/15/2009 $16,404
Biological Objectives Metrics
Objective 1. Determine factors that limit survival
Primary R, M, and E Type: Uncertainties Research

Collect/Generate/Validate Field and Lab Data Piscivory on spring Chinook salmon and sockeye salmon Determine the proportion of various prey types present in the diet of each piscivore species and use a bioenergetics model to quantify the consumption of each prey type. 10/15/2006 9/30/2009 $300,000
Biological Objectives Metrics
Objective 1. Determine factors that limit survival
Primary R, M, and E Type: Uncertainties Research

Collect/Generate/Validate Field and Lab Data Water Temperature and Disolved Oxygen Data Collection Water temperature and dissolved oxygen will be collected from each sample station (from methods 1.2.1) on a bi-weekly basis from April to November, and once monthly from December to March. Water temperature and dissolved oxygen profiles will be collected from the surface to a depth within 3 meters of the bottom, at 3 m intervals, using a YSI-85 or Hydrolab water quality meter. 10/15/2006 9/30/2009 $25,000
Biological Objectives Metrics
Objective 1. Determine factors that limit survival
Primary R, M, and E Type: Uncertainties Research

Collect/Generate/Validate Field and Lab Data Zooplankton , Phytoplankton, and Nutrient Sample Collections Water and zooplankton samples will be collected from 4 sampling stations on a bi-weekly basis from April to November, and once monthly from December to March. 10/1/2006 9/30/2009 $24,000
Biological Objectives Metrics
Objective 1. Determine factors that limit survival
No Metrics for this Work Element


Section 8: Budget

Itemized Estimated Budget
Item Note FY 2007 Cost FY 2008 Cost FY 2009 Cost
Personnel 4 FTE $156,990 $164,839 $173,081
Fringe Benefits = 33% of salaries $51,807 $54,397 $57,117
Supplies [blank] $49,500 $47,000 $46,425
Travel [blank] $15,000 $15,000 $15,000
Other subcontractors for zooplankton, water quality, and stable isotope analysis $60,000 $60,000 $60,000
Capital Equipment 26 foot Trawling Boat in FY2007, no overhead on capital equipment $65,000 $ 0 $ 0
Overhead as of Dec 2005 = 29% $90,913 $92,578 $95,757
Totals $489,210 $433,814 $447,380

Total Estimated FY 2007-2009 Budgets
Total Itemized Budget$1,370,404
Total Work Element budget$1,370,404

Cost sharing
Funding Source or Organization Item or Service Provided FY 2007 Est Value ($) FY 2008 Est Value ($) FY 2009 Est Value ($) Cash or in-kind? Status
University Laboratory Space $6,000 $6,000 $6,000 In-Kind Confirmed
WDFW Collaboration in fry and smolt trapping $50,000 $50,000 $50,000 In-Kind Confirmed
WDFW Field Office $4,500 $4,500 $4,500 In-Kind Confirmed
WDFW Fish Aging $3,500 $3,500 $3,500 In-Kind Confirmed
WDFW Electrofishing boat $38,000 $38,000 $38,000 In-Kind Confirmed
WDFW Gillnetting Boat $20,000 $20,000 $20,000 In-Kind Confirmed
WDFW Equipment Storage $10,000 $10,000 $10,000 In-Kind Confirmed
Totals $132,000 $132,000 $132,000

Section 9: Project Future
Project Future Costs and/or Termination
FY 2010 Est Budget FY 2011 Est Budget Comments
$426,000 $426,000 Implementation and M&E Phase
Future Operations & Maintenance Costs
Based upon finding during FY07-FY09, outyear costs will include implementing changes to benefit sockeye and spring chinook salmon in Lake Wenatchee. Any implemented changes will require a statistically sound monitoring and evaluation plan.
 
Termination Date Comments
None Project termination will depend heavily on initial findings, implementation and monitoring results. Several years of M&E may be needed to reach required levels of statistical confidence.
 
Final Deliverables
Final project deliverbales will be a multi-year comprehensive report summarizing and incorporating results to make management recommendations that will increase survival for sockeye and spring chinook and mutually benefit bull trout in Lake Wenatchee. Results from portions of this project will be published in scientific journals.

Section 10: Narrative
Document Type Size Date
Fix-it Loop Documents
Documents Originally Submitted with this Proposal
Narrative for proposal 200709100 doc 144 kb 1/10/2006

Part 2 of 2. Reviews of Proposal
Administrative Review Group (ARG) Results
Account Type:
Expense
No changes were made to this proposal


BPA's in lieu Funding Review of new project proposals (August 3, 2006) [Download letter and table]

BPA's in lieu Rating: 2.3
Approx. BPA share of total costs: BPA 78%
Status of Cost Share: Confirmed
Notes: Assessing limiting factors for recovery, recreational fishery; fishery managers authorized/required


NPCC Final Funding Recommendations (October 23, 2006) [Full NPCC Council Recs]

FY 2007 NPCC Rec
$ 0
FY 2008 NPCC Rec
$ 0
FY 2009 NPCC Rec
$ 0
Total NPCC Rec
$ 0
Budget Type:Expense
Budget Category:ProvinceExpense
Recommendation:Do Not Fund
NPCC Comments:


NPCC Draft Funding Recommendations (September 15, 2006) [Full NPCC Council Recs]

FY 2007 NPCC Rec
$ 0
FY 2008 NPCC Rec
$ 0
FY 2009 NPCC Rec
$ 0
Total NPCC Rec
$ 0
FY 2007 MSRT Rec
$ 0
FY 2008 MSRT Rec
$ 0
FY 2009 MSRT Rec
$ 0
Total MSRT Rec
$ 0
Budget Category:Basinwide
NPCC Comments:


NPCC Draft Funding Recommendations (September 15, 2006) [Full NPCC Council Recs]

FY 2007 NPCC Rec
$ 0
FY 2008 NPCC Rec
$ 0
FY 2009 NPCC Rec
$ 0
Total NPCC Rec
$ 0
FY 2007 MSRT Rec
$ 0
FY 2008 MSRT Rec
$ 0
FY 2009 MSRT Rec
$ 0
Total MSRT Rec
$ 0
Budget Category:ProvinceExpense
NPCC Comments:
NPCC Staff Comments: Also reviewed by the MSRT.

Local or MSRT Comments: See Washington guidance


Independent Scientific Review Panel Final Review (August 31, 2006) [Download full document]

Recommendation: Fundable in part
Comments: The project sponsors provided information that partially addresses the ISRP's questions about how Lake Wenatchee compares to other large oligotrophic lakes in the Pacific Northwest. Overall, however, the responses to the ISRP queries weren't particularly thorough. They provided interpretation from other investigations not the actual quantitative data summary from the other projects.

It is surprising how little is known about the lake, considering it contains several listed salmonids as well as a sockeye pen-rearing program. The need to gather more data from Lake Wenatchee to understand trophic processes justifies further research. This proposal essentially examines whether juvenile sockeye and Chinook rearing in the lake are limited by top-down (predator) or bottom-up (nutrients and plankton) factors. Phase I examines the role of predators -- bull trout and pikeminnow; Phase II examines nutrient limitation and the potential for lake fertilization to boost salmonid productivity.

The response to the ISRP's questions suggest that justification of Phase I is adequately supported. It does seem possible that predator populations are consuming enough juvenile sockeye and Chinook to have a significant impact on the populations. Determining whether or not predators are consuming these fish incidentally to supplement their regular prey organisms or are targeting them seems worth exploring.

To address Phase I will require measurements of abundance of predators along with information on the components of their stomach contents and their rates of digestion. According to the Response, information is lacking other than observations that "Large congregations of predators, for example, have been observed at net pens and the mouth of rivers during times of hatchery releases and out migrations of naturally produced fish into the lake" (Response page 2). Sponsors plan on using tangle nets to collect predators. The ISRP appreciates that sponsors are designing a system to avoid harm to captured listed species. The tangle nets they plan on using may not be effective, however. They could seriously miss the abundance of predators like northern pikeminnows, and could be counter productive if the collections are not sufficient to estimate the important parameters.

The justification for Phase II, the nutrient limitation work, is weaker. To really understand whether Lake Wenatchee will benefit from a fertilization program it will be necessary to conduct a fairly thorough examination of the lake's physical limnology. This will entail understanding the timing and pattern of stratification and the influence of the incoming tributaries on the lake's circulation pathways. A worst-case scenario (and we're not implying it would occur here) would be that added nutrients would be quickly transported in surface layers to the lake's outlet without ever reaching the target phyto- and zooplankton. Unless the circulation patterns are well understood, the effectiveness of lake fertilization can be compromised.

In addition to the physical limnology, developing a thorough bioenergetics model requires measurements of the key components of the chemical and biological makeup of the lake. Information is needed to develop the estimates of interactive effects among fish species in the lake. While the proposal makes reference to bioenergetic models in this context, it is not clear that the references cited for spring Chinook and sockeye salmon adequately take into account the zooplankton that might be utilized by other fish species in the lake, for example, juvenile bull trout or northern pikeminnow and others. It is not clear how the zooplankton samples will be expanded to abundance estimates for the lake as a whole or for a volume of water occupied by a given mass of Chinook or sockeye. There needs to be an explicit bioenergetics model and the plans for populating the model with Lake Wenatchee data as part of the work that is recommended for funding.

Therefore, the ISRP suggests that Phase I is fundable, with funding for Phase II contingent on Phase I findings and a complete review of what is known about Lake Wenatchee's physical limnology.


Independent Scientific Review Panel Preliminary Review (June 2, 2006) [Download full document]

Recommendation: Response requested
Comments: In Lake Wenatchee, the sponsors propose estimating zooplankton biomass and production to establish the potential forage base and carrying capacity for juvenile sockeye, Chinook salmon (Oncorhynchus tshawytscha), and bull trout (Salvelinus confluentus); quantifying predation on resident and anadromous salmonids through diet analysis and bioenergetics modeling; and estimating predator abundance using mark-recapture and mobile hydroacoustic techniques. The purpose is to inform a lake management plan intended to maximize the number of smolts leaving the lake or available for recreational angling.

This is an ambitious lake ecosystem study whose management value is not established by the technical background. Does this study replicate other investigations of trophic and food web structure of other Pacific Northwest lakes that could be used to make management recommendations for Lake Wenatchee? Are all of the components necessary to decide which management actions to pursue?

The proposal falls short of providing sufficient information to conclude that the study, and information, is necessary. First, the background and technical section asserts that recreational angling for kokanee has decreased in recent years, and they attribute this to potential bull trout predation. But no quantitative support for this assertion is provided. Consequently there is a lack of evidence that a problem actually exists – either for the kokanee recreational fishery or for production of juvenile spring Chinook or bull trout. Second, the sponsors do not adequately justify the potential causes of decreased salmonid production – either lack of nutrients in the lake or predation by bull trout or pike minnow. Thirdly, the description of the management actions that would be employed to remedy the problem is overly vague – presumably either a lake fertilization program or a predator removal program.

In a response the proposal needs to provide evidence that kokanee, juvenile salmon, and bull trout production in Lake Wenatchee are well below the expected production. There should be a review of literature available on 1) the Lake Wenatchee ecosystem, 2) other oligotrophic lakes in the Pacific Northwest, and 3) how lake fertilization and predator control programs have affected the abundance and productivity of target species. A lot is already known that has application here. For example, Mullan's (1986) review of sockeye includes an evaluation and recommendation on fertilization. Finally, the response should identify the minimal information that would be needed to decide whether these management interventions were necessary and appropriate. The work elements and tasks would then be to collect this essential information.

Additional Comments:

When proposing to fertilize a body of water the size of Lake Wenatchee they need to consider the water quality objectives established on the lower river. There may be TMDL limits for water quality parameters in the lower river and fertilizing the lake may create problems remaining in compliance. Assurances from water quality agencies that a lake fertilization program will not compromise water quality objectives further downstream should be given; otherwise, the nutrient limitation investigations will not lead to management actions.

It was unclear what exactly the role of the cooperators (Drs. Beauchamp, Bennett, and Black) would be. There doesn't seem to be any budget requests related to their involvement, but the brief summary on page 21 of the narrative suggests that they will have major responsibilities in this project. They are all highly qualified, but their level of effort here was not specified.

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